An intersection of my love of math and statistics with my love of gaming and dice, with heavy spill over and overlap.
Tuesday, July 5, 2011
Wow! Hormagaunts are a guradsman worst nightmare!
Working on my next post, but here a sneak preview.
Hormagaunts vs T3 A4+, the chance for any one attack to kill is 21.9%. Wow!
Does this mean you will kill about 1/5th of the biomass your attacking, not necessarily so, and that the point I am trying to get across in this blog. One: 21.9% takes calculating two re rolls, which takes some thinking ( I show you the scan of my scratch work here at the end.) Two: to scale this up to more attacks you have to use Binomial Theory (and yes a explanation of what this is is coming.)
Other results from my work so far (to kill for one attack):
w/ Toxin Sacs vs.
>T3 A3+ --> 9.7%
T3 A4+ --> 21.9%
T3 A5+ --> 29.2%
w/ out Toxin Sacs vs.
T4 A3+ --> 6.5%
T3 A4+ --> 14.6%
T3 A5+ --> 19.4%
I should note the first time I ran the numbers I was of by double, it was only after I went back and looked at the numbers in context, that a nagging voice said I should double check my work. But as of now these numbers are correct.
Labels:
Hormagaunts,
MathHammer,
Tyranids
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